WASHINGTON, DC - JUNE 13: A general view during the UFC Freedom 250 ceremonial weigh-in at The Ellipse on June 13, 2026 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Matt Ferris/Zuffa LLC)Its Sunday, June 14th, 2026 which means tonight the big UFC Freedom 250 event will go down on the White House lawn featuring some of mixed martial arts (MMAs) biggest stars. We could also be getting some cameos by unwanted guests like rain, lightning, or even a tornado! After months of forecast speculation, we finally have todays weather report to look at and its pretty iffy.Those who showed up for the UFC White House press conference on Friday at the Lincoln Memorial had to wait for thunderstorms to pass over Washington D.C. for the show to begin, pushing the presser until 9 p.m. ET. Saturdays fan event and ceremonial weigh-ins were smoother, providing loads of sunshine during the day and clear skies for a fireworks celebration following face-offs.Now for Sunday June 14ths weather forecast. A lot of editorializing and sensationalizing has gone into these from mainstream news sources, as a lot of people clearly want this deeply corrupt UFC event / Trumps birthday party to fail. Lets look at the raw numbers directly from the National Weather Service (compiled at 10 a.m. ET) without all the catastrophizing. Therell be a mix of sun and clouds up to 3 p.m. ET and then itll be overcast until 7 p.m. when the real risk of rain and thundershowers / lightning starts. Between 7 p.m. and midnight the risk of rain runs from 50% to 60%. Its mostly expected to be light rain, except at 8 p.m. and 11 p.m. where the potential rainfall amount is classified as moderate. Wind looks like a non-factor, never going above 9mph after 8 p.m. That could change if a thunderstorm rolls right over the White House.The temperature aint bad, dropping from a high of 92 degrees at 3 p.m. down to 81 degrees by 8 p.m. By midnight itll be down to 74 degrees. Humidity will sit around 40% through the day and afternoon and then start climbing at 6 p.m to 50% and ten percent more per hour: 60% at 7 p.m., 70% at 8 p.m., and 80% at 9 p.m. From there, it will slowly creep up from 80% to 90% from 9 p.m. to midnight.As for that tornado weve seen reports about on social media? Forecasters say it has a 1-2% chance of occurring. So dont worry about that worry about the lightning, which could result in delays and fans being pushed out of the Ellipse for safety reasons. From what weve heard, any lightning within an 8-mile radius of the event will force a 30 minute freeze, and were not sure even Dana White could stop that.Well keep you updated as meteorologists get us an update on how likely thunderstorms and lightning strikes are. And of course, well also be here to share all the amazing highlights from the fights (remember the fights?!) going down in the cage tonight starting at 8 p.m. on Paramount+.