Image: Ben Duffy/Sherdog.com illustrationUFC Fight Night 282 betting analysis featuring MagomedAnkalaev, Magomed Zaynukov and Valter WalkerWe at Sherdog provide regular, in-depth preview coverage for allmajor events, including our oft-praised preview column along withour Sheehan Show handling all sorts of related matters includingbetting. With those official sources for picks handled, we wouldlike to take the edge off here and get a bit lighter with ourbreakdowns.The industry of sports betting is exploding before our very eyes,with billions of dollars pumping in since legalization stateside.Oftentimes, those driving the lines are right on the money withtheir openings, valuations and analyses. Occasionally they are wayoff, or otherwise merit some additional conversation. That is wherewe come in with this reinvigorated series of Prime Picks, where,stealing a line from game show host Sam Reich, we hold hands andjump into the abyss together for Saturday mornings Ultimate Fighting Championships jaunt toAbu Dhabi. Try it out.Oops! All Magomeds (-133)MagomedAnkalaev (-575)MagomedZaynukov (-290)MagomedTuchalov (-900)We admit, were getting away with a technicality here by notincluding MuhammadSaid in our same-name parlay. After all, Magomed is the Russiantransliteration of Muhammad. Also, good luck trying to search thename Muhammad Said without any additional qualifiers and stillgarner any information about the fighter of that namesake. All ofthese Magomeds are rightful favorites, and in the case of two ofthe more expected victors of Tuchalov and Ankalaev, moneyline betsare just not worth it.Therefore, we pair these three gents together, all of whom haveclear paths to victory against foes who have displayed exploitableweaknesses. Some are giving BogdanGuskov a proverbial punchers chance to win this fight,although he might have some surprise jiu-jitsu in his back pocket.Nevertheless, unless Ankalaev chooses to take things horizontalheis not nearly as keen on doing this despite his reputation, onlydoing so in his first triumphant meeting against AlexPereira. Against Poatan, he did attempt a clean dozen shots.While he did not land a single one, the mere threat of the takedownallowed him to get in on the stoic striker and do some work. A fewfaked shots against Hitman, whose takedown defense has alreadycome into question despite his recent successes, would payimmediate dividends.We get to the meat of the order. More specifically, the pork. JohnPork. Wild Chanco Zaynukov, who actually had his nickname onFight Finder as John Pork until specifically reaching out torequest that it be taken down. RobertWhittaker didnt have the same problem when Ben Fowlkes andChad Dundas first crowned him Bobby Knuckles in the always-greatCo-Main Event Podcast and it stuck. Even though DamianRzepecki will hold a slight bit more experience and morestoppages on his ledger, he and Zaynukov stand at differentterraces in their respective careers.To get signed through the promotion, the Dagestan native in thepipeline of the Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School still had to work upthrough UAEWarriors to get a slot on Dana White's Contender Series last year. His strength ofschedule? In his second pro bout, he crushed a 4-2 opponent. Not somuch for Rzepecki, who cruised on Polands second- or third-mostsignificant organization of Fight Exclusive Night and succeeded aswell when stopping off Spanish-based World of Warriors FC for a bitof the ol' ultraviolence. Zaynukov may be shorter with a slightlylesser reach, but he already has shown that he can put a pace on anopponent and practically grind them to dust. See also: what he willlikely do on Saturday morning.How does the UFC handle this third Magomed, one making hispromotional debut with a 100% finish rate? They throw him againstone of the chinniest competitors on the light heavyweight rosterwith a win under his belt. In BrendsonRibeiros last three outingsall first-round stoppage losseshehas offered up just 21 significant strikes on his own end. On theway down, he succumbed to multiple takedowns, one of which leadingto an eventual fight-ending rear-naked choke. Face-first drum solosperformed by AzamatMurzakanov and Oumar Sy alsodemonstrated a strategy Tuchalov can certainly replicate. The lineat -900 is quite pricey, so he is best suited as an attachment to aparlay like this one. If you are stone-cold certain, for example,that ValterWalker does bad things to ThomasPetersen? Why not increase that multiplier by a shade? On thisPrime Picks prognostication, its Magomeds all the way down.ValterWalker wins inside distance (+105)To say that heel hook aficionado Walker is a meme fighter is notentirely the insult in which it was originally coined. He fightslike he is playing a game, and his signature move seems to be achallenge for him to hit against anyone he faces now. Now that heis known for it, the veritable knuckleballer-but-in-MMA-terms seeks greater fame for landingthis low-percentage, high-risk leglock. A move many accomplishedfighters have stifled by simply punching. Punches to the noggin arean exceptional defense when both arms of the other athlete arewrapped around your leg.We very seriously considered the play pitched by our own SeanSheehan, who drilled even deeper to push for Walker by first-roundsub at around +450. If you think a speedy heel hook is in thecards, by all means, get that steak dinner. We will err ever soslightly on the side of caution. Not only will we open up thewindow to allow for any stoppage from the Russian by way of Brazil,but we will also push the bounds of that finish coming any timebefore the final buzzer. This allows situations like Walkerclubbing, trying a sub and then realizing he could just pound hisway to a victory. Or, if Petersens credentials on the groundextend beyond offensive wrestling and grant him a modicum ofsurvivability to reach the second stanza, it still hits. Beyondthis play, discard your fear of missing out with our FOMOfive-dollar flier on Sheehans timestamped call below, which maybe worth contributing to if you wish to laugh and meme your way tothe bank.