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Ballon dOr 2026 power rankings: Who leads the race after the World Cup?
The race for the Ballon dOr is entering its final stretch after the worlds best players made significant statements during the 2026 World Cup.Eight-time winner Lionel Messi showed that, at 39, he could still force himself into the conversation, firing eight goals to propel Argentina to the final and briefly take the crown as the competitions all-time top goalscorer - until he was eclipsed by Kylian Mbappe.However, Spains triumph over Argentina in the finale will surely bode well for the likes of 2024 winner Rodri and Lamine Yamal in their pursuit of the individual accolade, who will look to start the new club season with some spellbinding performances to complement their part in winning footballs most coveted trophy.Harry Kane was the favourite for the Ballon dOr before this summer after his sublime goalscoring campaign with Bayern Munich - can he replicate that unparalleled form in the early months of 2026/27 to make team achievements irrelevant come Octobers ceremony?Heres how the top 10 front-runners stack up in The Independents Ballon dOr 2026 power rankings:1. RodriRodri won the Golden Ball at the World Cup to stamp his mark on the Ballon dOr race (AP)You might not like it, but the weight of the World Cup in the eyes of the Ballon dOr jury is undeniable. Just ask Luka Modric.Rodri had a sensational World Cup at the heart of Spains midfield, shielding their rock-solid defence while acting as the metronome that took play forward. His influence took him to the Golden Ball ahead of top goalscorers Messi and Mbappe - and we feel like that could be the precursor to him bringing home a second Ballon dOr in October.That would feel like a bit of an injustice, considering he didnt have the most spectacular domestic season. Returning from injury with Manchester City, it took him a while to properly find his feet in a campaign that saw Pep Guardiolas side win the FA Cup and League Cup, but miss out on the Premier League title. But the World Cup is the World Cup - and whether you agree with the importance of team achievements in an individual award, the reality is that it does matter a hell of a lot.His pursuit of a second crown in three years could hinge on his recovery from minor back surgery, and then a possible move to Real Madrid. If he carries his World Cup form and inspires a lightning start to the season at the Santiago Bernabeu, that spotlight could be what swings the jury in his favour.2. Harry KaneHarry Kane scored 61 goals in 51 games for Bayern last term (Getty)England captain Kane is still the odds-on favourite to win the Ballon dOr despite failing to set the World Cup alight quite like he managed the Bundesliga in 2025/26. Thats a testament to just how prolific he was last term.Kane was the top goalscorer in Europe, hitting 61 goals in 51 games across all competitions as he spearheaded Bayern towards the league and cup double; hes added silverware to his ever-present individual numbers. He was then hardly irrelevant at the World Cup, scoring six goals - including a crucial late brace against DR Congo to spare his country serious embarrassment - as England secured their best World Cup finish since 1966.If his club form continues into the new campaign, the jury may have to put their emphasis on the World Cup and wider team achievement to one side.3. Lamine YamalLamine Yamal has now won both a European Championship and World Cup before turning 20 (PA)And back to the World Cup superiority complex we go, sort of. Yamal will surely win his fair share of Ballon dOrs across his career, but the 19-year-old could very well end up taking home his first this year, going one better than his runners-up finish in 2025.Yamal became the first player under 20 to appear at both a European Championship final and a World Cup final - he won both. While his output was pretty modest for his standards, he was influential throughout the tournament for Spain - and thats after coming into it carrying a hamstring injury.He also bagged 24 goals and 18 assists across all competitions for Barcelona in another LaLiga-winning season - hardly a mediocre year for the teenager. Hes more than in with a shout.4. Kylian MbappeKylian Mbappe became the World Cups all-time record goalscorer this summer (Reuters)It feels pretty crazy to think that, at 27, Mbappe still doesnt have a Ballon dOr to his name, given hes been at the top of the game for what feels like forever now. Once again, hes very much in the mix this time around. His Golden Boot at the World Cup will do most of the heavy lifting, with his 10 goals in North America seeing him pass first Miroslav Klose and then Lionel Messi as the tournaments all-time record goalscorer. Both he and Messi would have felt hard done by not to go home with the Golden Ball.But lest we forget, despite the toxicity that surrounded his club season with Real Madrid, he didnt exactly experience a drop-off in performance. He bagged 42 goals in 44 games, all while being hounded at the Bernabeu - and while it wasnt enough to prevent another trophyless season for Los Blancos, you cant knock his output.If he can get along with Jose Mourinho and get 2026/27 off to a flyer, he could well shoot up to the pinnacle of these rankings.5. Lionel MessiLionel Messi, 39, is still in the mix after a stunning World Cup (PA Wire)He couldnt again, could he? Messis inclusion on this list encapsulates the significance of the World Cup in deciding the Ballon dOr winner; hes not going to take the accolade for his MLS exploits, is he. But fair play to the eight-time winner; at 39, he showed he very much still had it.Messis eight goals propelled Argentina to the World Cup final, where they were rightly defeated by Spain - had he lifted back-to-back titles, hed probably be towards the top two of this list. After all, he claimed the 2023 award after La Albicelestes triumph 10 months earlier, by which time he was on the books at Inter Miami.Even with his runners-up medal,Indy Sport writers had him as the player of the tournament. That, combined with the jurys historic love for the Argentinian, means you cant exactly write him off.6. Ousmane DembeleOusmane Dembele won back-to-back Champions Leagues with PSG (PA)Had France won the World Cup, as many expected them to do leading up to that drab semi-final exit, Dembele would have been heavily favoured to secure a second successive Ballon dOr. The combination of World Cup and Champions League winners medals is a bit of a cheat code.That wouldve been quite the gimme for a player who, lets be honest, was Frances fourth best attacker at the World Cup. And while, like last year, he ended the season as Paris Saint-Germains top scorer with a Ligue 1 and Champions League to boot, he only managed about half of his goalscoring output.His trophy haul still carries enough weight to be comfortably in the top 10 contenders, but the failure to lift that World Cup title gives him only an outside chance to go back-to-back - and we think thats fair. Sorry Ousmane, but this year shouldnt be your year.7. Erling HaalandErling Haaland ripped open defences on his World Cup debut (Getty)He had us all doing the row.Their first World Cup since 1998, Haaland ensured Norway lived up to their dark-horse status by powering them to the last-eight. On the way, his unrelenting goalscoring exploits humbled Brazil, sending the five-time winners packing. Away from the big-hitting nations, Haaland was far and away the tournaments standout player, to little surprise.Add that to a pretty bog-standard Haaland season for City - just the 38 goals last year, the fourth season hes hit 30+ at the Etihad - which saw him lift a domestic double. Legacy-defining stats for nearly anyone else, but normal service for the big Norwegian. As prolific as he may be, hes currently a definite outsider in the Ballon dOr race. That may change if he emulates the start to the season he had last year, which saw him smack home 13 in his first 10 league outings. Recency bias can be a powerful thing...8. Jude BellinghamJude Bellingham silenced his critics at the World Cup (Reuters)How was this mans place on the England plane ever in question?! Thomas Tuchels player of the tournament, Bellingham served his critics a serious helping of humble pie by guiding the Three Lions to the elusive World Cup bronze. That beautiful redemption arc, on its own, has Bellingham on this list. Thats because the season that preceded the World Cup wasnt spectacular. Injuries limited him to just 13 goal contributions for Real Madrid in another trophyless campaign.Its why his chances of winning the Ballon dOr are still low compared to the competition. But as was proved in North America - dont count him out.9. Michael OliseMichael Olise has proved himself as one of the worlds best attackers (Getty)Crystal Palace could only keep him in Croydon for so long. With Bayern Munich and France, Olise has established himself as one of the worlds best attackers, a talent so bright that the German giants are doing all they can to ward off interest from the likes of Real Madrid - who no doubt saw the World Cup partnership he formed with Mbappe and want to reunite the pair in the Spanish capital.Will his electrifying performances be enough to win the Ballon dOr? Probably not, this year. But hes in the conversation, which is a statement in itself.10. Vinicius JrVinicius Jr could be on the move to Arsenal this summer (PA Wire)Vinicius squeezes into our Ballon dOr power rankings, mainly to spare myself some angry emails from those affiliated to Real Madrid, Brazil, and now maybe Arsenal. I joke, kind of.The 2024 runner-up had another strong season at the Bernabeu, netting 22 goals in 36 appearances, though like Mbappe was unable to inspire the club to a trophy. Similar could be said about his World Cup; he was one of the few bright lights in a wooden Brazil side under Carlo Ancelotti, which eventually succumbed to Haaland and co.Could a move to the Emirates spark life into his Ballon dOr bid?
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